OpenEuphoria

Re: EuOS, 3D distance alg's, and fuzzy logic

• Posted by Mycroft <Mycroft at STLNET.COM> Aug 21, 1998
• 563 views

Michael Sabal wrote:
>

<snip>

>
> [Fuzzy logic]
>
>         Thanks for the long and informative post about fuzzy logic
>operators ;).  While I expect the ideal is great, reality just
>doesn't hold up.  First of all, the laws of probability you studied
>in high school are completely invalid.  Mathematically, if you flip
>a coin 10 times and they are all heads, the probability of the next
>flip being heads is 50%.  However, we know from experience that the
>odds of heads coming up are closer to 25%, getting lower with each
>subsequent head.

<more snip>

Eh, you need a new coin.  my experience matches what I've learned about
statistics fairly close (though they oftern teach a simplified example
of any complex subject in h.s.)  Your odd of coin comming up head or
tails has NOTHING to do with prior results. You sound like your going
with what intuition seems to say in an area where intuition is often
wrong. this is probably coloring your memory.
        Go aheah and test it yourself, flip a new coin many times (the
same whay each time,preferably by a mechanical, process) and look at
results, you'll find them very nearly 50/50, the nearness to even odds
being greater based on the number of trial.
        you'll also finds runs of a set number of heads just as often
followed by heads again as by tails.


                        Kasey