Re: Is everybody okay? -- back on topic
- Posted by Senator May 04, 2020
- 1873 views
I have continued to fiddle with my CV19-tracker.edb. Today a CNN article noted: "An influential coronavirus model..is now forecasting that 134,000 people will die of Covid-19 in the United States, nearly double its previous prediction.. Relatedly, a ... model projects a rise in coronavirus cases and deaths in the weeks ahead, up to about 3,000 daily deaths in the US by June 1"
This my tracker's current US report:
Current Table: US
Day 101: 2020-5-3
CONFIRMED: 1,158,040 (+25,501) = 1.022 Daily Growth Rate
349.8 Confirmed Cases per 100,000
0.35% of US population
The Daily Growth Rate 7 day Moving Average has
**DECLINED** for 3 consecutive days
DECEASED: 67,682 (+1,313) = 5.844% of Confirmed Cases
20.4 Deaths per 100,000
Deaths/Confirmed Cases 7 day Moving Average has
**INCREASED** for 37 consecutive days
RECOVERED: 180,152
ACTIVE: 910,206
----------------------------------------------
Coronavirus: US Projected Data based on a
Daily Growth Rate 7 Day Moving Average of: 1.026
and a death rate of 5.844%*<=== Probably should use
the 7 day moving average death rate percentage instead of
the last day's value.
Day Date Confirmed Deaths Daily
1 2020-5-4: 1,188,472 69,461 1,779
2 2020-5-5: 1,219,704 71,286 1,825
3 2020-5-6: 1,251,757 73,159 1,873
~
~
25 2020-5-28: 2,214,930 129,452 3,315
26 2020-5-29: 2,273,136 132,854 3,402
27 2020-5-30: 2,332,872 136,345 3,491
28 2020-5-31: 2,394,178 139,928 3,583
29 2020-6-1: 2,457,095 143,606 3,678
To paraphrase a famous quote by U.S. Senator Everett Dirksen, "A few hundred thousand dead here, a few hundred thousand dead there, and pretty soon you're talking about a significant number of deaths."
Everybody Stay Safe!,
Ken
