Re: Is everybody okay? -- back on topic

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I have continued to fiddle with my CV19-tracker.edb. Today a CNN article noted: "An influential coronavirus model..is now forecasting that 134,000 people will die of Covid-19 in the United States, nearly double its previous prediction.. Relatedly, a ... model projects a rise in coronavirus cases and deaths in the weeks ahead, up to about 3,000 daily deaths in the US by June 1"

This my tracker's current US report:

    Current Table: US 
 
    Day 101:  2020-5-3 
 
    CONFIRMED: 1,158,040 (+25,501) = 1.022 Daily Growth Rate 
        349.8 Confirmed Cases per 100,000 
        0.35% of US population 
        The Daily Growth Rate 7 day Moving Average has 
        **DECLINED** for 3 consecutive days 
 
    DECEASED: 67,682 (+1,313) = 5.844% of Confirmed Cases 
        20.4 Deaths per 100,000 
        Deaths/Confirmed Cases 7 day Moving Average has 
        **INCREASED** for 37 consecutive days 
 
    RECOVERED: 180,152 
 
    ACTIVE: 910,206 
---------------------------------------------- 
Coronavirus: US Projected Data based on a 
Daily Growth Rate 7 Day Moving Average of: 1.026 
and a death rate of 5.844%*<=== Probably should use  
the 7 day moving average death rate percentage instead of 
the last day's value.    
 
Day     Date            Confirmed           Deaths          Daily 
1       2020-5-4:       1,188,472           69,461          1,779 
2       2020-5-5:       1,219,704           71,286          1,825 
3       2020-5-6:       1,251,757           73,159          1,873 
~ 
~ 
25      2020-5-28:      2,214,930           129,452         3,315 
26      2020-5-29:      2,273,136           132,854         3,402 
27      2020-5-30:      2,332,872           136,345         3,491 
28      2020-5-31:      2,394,178           139,928         3,583 
29      2020-6-1:       2,457,095           143,606         3,678 

To paraphrase a famous quote by U.S. Senator Everett Dirksen, "A few hundred thousand dead here, a few hundred thousand dead there, and pretty soon you're talking about a significant number of deaths."

Everybody Stay Safe!,
Ken

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