1. Re: Probability and Fuzzy Logic
On Mon, 5 Oct 1998, C & K L wrote:
> In the flipping of a coin, it is 50% likely heads, 50% likely tails,
> regardless of any past flippings.
>
> You contradict yourself when you say the flipping is independent of
> previous results, and then say that the previous results have a bearing,
> or can be used to determine, what will happen next.
>
> > This last is correct. The flipping of a coin is independent of previous
> > results. However, the likelihood of having flipped that many heads AND
> > flipping another does go down. The formula for that is:
>
This is what he means:
if you flip a coin once, the chance of it coming up heads is 50%
if you flip it twice, the chance of it coming up heads BOTH times is 25%
There, no more confusion.
-Humberto Yeverino Jr.
